Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Sevilla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
17.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 1
SEV
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SEV
5 - 2
FCB
59%
18%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
SEV
31%
22%
48%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
2 - 2
OVI
69%
16%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 2
ATM
39%
22%
39%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 0
CEL
80%
11%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
ATM
7 - 2
RCD
90%
7%
4%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
RCD
2 - 3
ATM
21%
21%
58%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
ATM
3 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |