Sevilla vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 3
SEV
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
FCB
4 - 0
SEV
71%
17%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
33%
25%
41%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 2
RAC
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 2
SEV
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDT
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALM
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 0
XER
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |