Sever Murmansk vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
TEK
0 - 1
SEV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 1
SHC
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 1
DVO
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SEV
3 - 2
TKA
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 0
VOR
29%
28%
43%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
DNE
71%
19%
10%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
DIK
1 - 3
DNE
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
DNE
3 - 0
FAK
44%
27%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |