Servette vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
SER
3 - 1
YOB
50%
21%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SER
3 - 0
LAU
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
SIO
1 - 1
SER
60%
19%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 4
GCZ
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
ZUR
4 - 0
WIN
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 1
NEX
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
YOB
5 - 2
WIN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
STG
2 - 0
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |