Sertanense vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
VIT
53%
24%
22%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
IDA
1 - 1
SER
20%
22%
59%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
55%
24%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 1
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GDF
3 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLE
0 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
PRA
24%
25%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +4 |