Sertanense vs Eléctrico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
26%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Eléctrico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ELE
2 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ELE
2 - 3
TON
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ELE
0 - 1
UDL
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAF
2 - 1
ELE
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ELE
4 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |