Serrano FC vs São Gonçalo RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 2
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 2
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
SFC
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
NCI
58%
23%
18%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 1
POR
12%
23%
65%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 5
SAO
21%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAD
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |