Rio Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Serrano FC vs Artsul FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 0
CGA
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 4
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Artsul FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 4
AFC
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
CAB
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |