Serra Talhada vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
BEL
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PES
1 - 2
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
SER
87%
9%
3%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEN
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
61%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
SAN
20%
22%
57%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |