Serra Macaense vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 2
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 6
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 4
FRI
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
NCI
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
SFC
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |