Carioca Série B1 Fase de Grupos round 10

Serra Macaense vs Macaé Esporte analysis

Serra Macaense Macaé Esporte
32 ELO 32
-12.8% Tilt -6.2%
8962º General ELO ranking 25516º
382º Country ELO ranking 686º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Serra Macaense
24.4%
Draw
30.9%
Macaé Esporte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
Serra Macaense
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.9%
Win probability
Macaé Esporte
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serra Macaense
-37%
-8%
Macaé Esporte

ELO progression

Serra Macaense
Macaé Esporte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serra Macaense
Serra Macaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
37%
23%
40%
33 33 0 0
24 Oct. 2023
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 3
Pérolas Negras
PER
30%
24%
46%
34 40 6 -1
21 Oct. 2023
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 2
Serra Macaense
SER
58%
24%
18%
34 46 12 0
13 Oct. 2023
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 4
Barra da Tijuca
BAR
33%
26%
41%
36 39 3 -2
08 Oct. 2023
CIG
7 de Abril
0 - 6
Serra Macaense
SER
25%
22%
53%
35 26 9 +1

Matches

Macaé Esporte
Macaé Esporte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
MAC
Macaé Esporte
3 - 4
Friburguense
FRI
29%
25%
47%
32 39 7 0
25 Oct. 2023
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 1
Nova Cidade
NCI
43%
23%
34%
33 32 1 -1
21 Oct. 2023
PER
Pérolas Negras
2 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
45%
23%
33%
34 39 5 -1
14 Oct. 2023
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
24%
25%
51%
35 45 10 -1
07 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barra da Tijuca
2 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
40%
26%
34%
36 38 2 -1