Serra FC vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
23%
23%
55%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SER
3 - 2
ECT
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
VAS
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DES
3 - 1
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
REM
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 3
RIO
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
DES
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |