Serpa vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
SER
12%
15%
73%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAB
3 - 0
SER
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
ORI
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
UFT
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
GOU
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 4
TON
7%
14%
80%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |