Sered vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
STR
2 - 2
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NVN
0 - 3
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FOM
2 - 3
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
ZMO
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
SBR
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DAC
0 - 6
ZIL
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ZIL
1 - 0
POD
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
LIP
1 - 2
ZIL
5%
12%
83%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ZMO
0 - 2
ZIL
26%
26%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZIL
4 - 2
SEN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |