UEFA EC U17 Grupo D round 1

Serbia U17 vs Spain U17 analysis

Serbia U17 Spain U17
51 ELO 67
0.4% Tilt -6.1%
3589º General ELO ranking 1998º
40º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
20.7%
Serbia U17
24%
Draw
55.4%
Spain U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
Serbia U17
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.4%
Win probability
Spain U17
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serbia U17
+25%
-14%
Spain U17

ELO progression

Serbia U17
Spain U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serbia U17
Serbia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2018
ESP
Spain U17
1 - 1
Serbia U17
SRB
69%
19%
12%
51 67 16 0
24 Mar. 2018
SRB
Serbia U17
3 - 0
Ukraine U17
UKR
57%
22%
21%
50 46 4 +1
21 Mar. 2018
SRB
Serbia U17
2 - 0
Czech Republic U17
CZE
41%
23%
36%
49 48 1 +1
24 Oct. 2017
GRC
Greece U17
2 - 3
Serbia U17
SRB
35%
26%
39%
49 47 2 0
21 Oct. 2017
SRB
Serbia U17
2 - 1
Norway U17
NOR
61%
21%
19%
48 41 7 +1

Matches

Spain U17
Spain U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2018
ESP
Spain U17
1 - 1
Serbia U17
SRB
69%
19%
12%
67 51 16 0
24 Mar. 2018
ESP
Spain U17
2 - 0
Czech Republic U17
CZE
74%
18%
9%
67 47 20 0
21 Mar. 2018
UKR
Ukraine U17
1 - 1
Spain U17
ESP
11%
19%
70%
68 46 22 -1
25 Oct. 2017
CRO
Croatia U17
1 - 1
Spain U17
ESP
14%
17%
69%
68 54 14 0
22 Oct. 2017
ESP
Spain U17
1 - 0
Albania U17
ALB
87%
11%
3%
68 24 44 0