Seravezza vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SGP
1 - 0
SER
10%
16%
74%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
TUT
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 3
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
SDT
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SIN
0 - 3
SER
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MPO
4 - 1
SIN
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FCV
0 - 1
MPO
40%
25%
34%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MPO
1 - 1
MON
53%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GAV
1 - 0
MPO
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MPO
1 - 1
GHI
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |