Septemvri Sofia II vs Granit Vladaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
4º
13
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 25 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 24 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 21 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 19 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 19 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 18 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 15 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 14 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 12 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SSO
0 - 2
BAL
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 3
SSO
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SSO
2 - 1
BAN
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
SSO
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
SSO
2 - 2
MAR
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Granit Vladaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GRV
0 - 0
PIR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIH
4 - 1
GRV
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRV
0 - 4
KOS
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAD
0 - 0
GRV
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRV
0 - 6
FKK
9%
19%
72%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |