Septemvri Simitli vs Kaliakra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SVE
1 - 0
SEP
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 1
RAK
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 2
SVA
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 0
VID
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 4
LYU
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PIR
1 - 0
KAL
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
KAL
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
4 - 1
LOK
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 0
SPL
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |