CAF Grupo F round 2

Zambia vs Tanzania analysis

Zambia Tanzania
73 ELO 60
4.3% Tilt -8.7%
1159º General ELO ranking 2289º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.6%
Zambia
17.4%
Draw
10.1%
Tanzania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
Zambia
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Win probability
Tanzania
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zambia
-11%
+6%
Tanzania

ELO progression

Zambia
Tanzania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2024
COD
RD Congo
1 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
73 70 3 0
09 Jan. 2024
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
38%
27%
35%
73 80 7 0
21 Nov. 2023
NIG
Niger
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
73 54 19 0
17 Nov. 2023
ZAM
Zambia
4 - 2
Congo
CGO
69%
19%
12%
73 61 12 0
17 Oct. 2023
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 0
Uganda
UGA
60%
23%
18%
72 67 5 +1

Matches

Tanzania
Tanzania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2024
MAR
Morocco
3 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
83%
13%
4%
60 88 28 0
07 Jan. 2024
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
85%
12%
4%
60 85 25 0
27 Dec. 2023
ZAN
Zanzibar
0 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
80%
14%
6%
60 76 16 0
21 Nov. 2023
TAN
Tanzania
0 - 2
Morocco
MAR
10%
22%
68%
60 88 28 0
18 Nov. 2023
NIG
Niger
0 - 1
Tanzania
TAN
34%
26%
39%
60 54 6 0