Zambia vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
COD
1 - 1
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CMR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NIG
2 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 0
UGA
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
TAN
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 0
TAN
85%
12%
4%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ZAN
0 - 0
TAN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 2
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
TAN
34%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |