Zambia vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1998 |
ZAM
1 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1998 |
ZAM
2 - 0
GAM
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
53%
27%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
ZAM
2 - 0
NGA
51%
27%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
KOR
5 - 4
EGY
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
EGY
0 - 2
KOR
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
THA
1 - 1
EGY
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1997 |
EGY
1 - 2
ALG
60%
25%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |