Yugoslavia vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
MKD
1 - 2
YUG
7%
15%
78%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 2
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MKD
2 - 4
YUG
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
YUG
3 - 1
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
IRL
2 - 1
YUG
23%
26%
51%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CHN
1 - 0
URU
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
CHN
1 - 0
NZL
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRN
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
CHN
3 - 0
THA
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |