CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 2-2
Djibouti vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
DJI
2 - 1
SWZ
14%
17%
69%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ETH
4 - 3
DJI
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
DJI
0 - 1
ETH
8%
13%
80%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ETH
3 - 0
DJI
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -4 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ANG
2 - 1
GAM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
GAM
0 - 1
ANG
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
GAM
77%
17%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
GAM
77%
15%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAM
3 - 1
BEN
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |