Vanuatu vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VAN
2 - 0
SOL
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
VAN
0 - 0
SOL
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
FIJ
2 - 0
VAN
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SOL
0 - 0
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
NCL
1 - 3
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NCL
2 - 4
REU
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 0
NCL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 3
NCL
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
VAN
0 - 0
NCL
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |