Uzbekistan vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TWN
0 - 2
UZB
10%
16%
74%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
UZB
9 - 0
TWN
81%
13%
7%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
UKR
2 - 1
UZB
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
SAU
2 - 1
UZB
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
UZB
3 - 0
CHN
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
AND
0 - 2
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
SAU
2 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
MNE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 97 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MKD
1 - 1
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |