Uruguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1997 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
33%
27%
41%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
URU
1 - 1
COL
48%
28%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
URU
3 - 1
VEN
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
ECU
4 - 0
URU
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 0
VEN
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
VEN
1 - 1
BOL
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
CHI
6 - 0
VEN
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
URU
3 - 1
VEN
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
CRC
5 - 2
VEN
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |