Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 2
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
COL
5 - 0
URU
43%
27%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
URU
1 - 3
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
URU
0 - 3
VEN
72%
19%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 0
URU
17%
24%
60%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
2 - 1
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
47%
28%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |