Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 3
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
CHI
2 - 2
URU
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
CZE
1 - 0
URU
45%
26%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1997 |
URU
0 - 1
AUS
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
3 - 1
ECU
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1999 |
VEN
3 - 2
ECU
23%
26%
52%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 2
ECU
38%
29%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ECU
3 - 1
GTM
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |