Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
URU
4 - 0
ECU
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1959 |
URU
1 - 3
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
77%
13%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 0
ENG
56%
20%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |