Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
URY
6 - 0
FIN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 3
URY
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 0
URY
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1980 |
URY
0 - 0
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1980 |
BOL
2 - 2
FIN
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BOL
3 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 3
URY
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
PRY
2 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 3
PRY
29%
23%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |