Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1989 |
URY
3 - 0
CHL
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1989 |
URY
3 - 0
BOL
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1989 |
ECU
1 - 0
URY
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1989 |
URY
2 - 2
CHL
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
URY
1 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
0 - 0
ECU
75%
18%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
64%
23%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1989 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARG
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1989 |
ECU
2 - 2
ARG
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ARG
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |