Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
CHL
1 - 3
URY
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
URY
0 - 1
PRY
57%
24%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
PRY
0 - 1
URY
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
URY
1 - 0
CHL
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
SWE
3 - 0
URY
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHL
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARG
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
DDR
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |