Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1919 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1918 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1919 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |