USSR vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
3 - 1
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
4 - 0
VEN
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
DDR
2 - 2
SUN
47%
27%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
CUB
2 - 1
VEN
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
CUB
1 - 0
ZAM
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1980 |
CRC
3 - 0
CUB
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
CUB
2 - 0
JAM
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
CUB
1 - 0
PAN
64%
18%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |