UEFA Nations League Liga B round 3

Turkey vs Montenegro analysis

Turkey Montenegro
86 ELO 72
1.5% Tilt 3.9%
128º General ELO ranking 943º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.4%
Turkey
16.7%
Draw
8.9%
Montenegro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
Turkey
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
Montenegro
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Turkey
+4%
-5%
Montenegro

ELO progression

Turkey
Montenegro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2024
TUR
Turkey
3 - 1
Iceland
ISL
64%
20%
16%
86 77 9 0
06 Sep. 2024
WAL
Wales
0 - 0
Turkey
TUR
34%
26%
40%
86 85 1 0
06 Jul. 2024
NED
Netherlands
2 - 1
Turkey
TUR
75%
15%
10%
86 93 7 0
02 Jul. 2024
AUT
Austria
1 - 2
Turkey
TUR
53%
22%
25%
86 88 2 0
26 Jun. 2024
CZE
Czech Republic
1 - 2
Turkey
TUR
47%
23%
30%
86 86 0 0

Matches

Montenegro
Montenegro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2024
MNE
Montenegro
1 - 2
Wales
WAL
27%
28%
46%
72 85 13 0
06 Sep. 2024
ISL
Iceland
2 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
55%
24%
21%
73 77 4 -1
09 Jun. 2024
MNE
Montenegro
1 - 3
Georgia
GEO
37%
26%
37%
74 78 4 -1
05 Jun. 2024
BEL
Belgium
2 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
89%
9%
3%
74 93 19 0
25 Mar. 2024
MNE
Montenegro
1 - 0
North Macedonia
MKD
44%
26%
30%
74 75 1 0