Turkey vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
TUR
3 - 1
GRC
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
HUN
1 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1987 |
TUR
2 - 3
YUG
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
NIR
1 - 0
TUR
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
ENG
8 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
DEN
1 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
2%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
ISL
0 - 3
HUN
20%
27%
54%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
1 - 1
SUN
17%
28%
55%
|
62 | 93 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
1 - 0
FRO
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
2 - 3
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |