WC Qual. Europe round 1

Turkey vs Iceland analysis

Turkey Iceland
71 ELO 62
-6.3% Tilt -5.4%
128º General ELO ranking 598º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.7%
Turkey
17%
Draw
10.4%
Iceland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
Turkey
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
Iceland
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Turkey
+4%
-7%
Iceland

ELO progression

Turkey
Iceland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 1988
TUR
Turkey
3 - 1
Greece
GRC
43%
25%
32%
70 77 7 0
16 Mar. 1988
HUN
Hungary
1 - 0
Turkey
TUR
81%
13%
6%
70 90 20 0
16 Dec. 1987
TUR
Turkey
2 - 3
Yugoslavia
YUG
21%
26%
53%
70 89 19 0
11 Nov. 1987
NIR
Northern Ireland
1 - 0
Turkey
TUR
67%
19%
14%
71 83 12 -1
14 Oct. 1987
ENG
England
8 - 0
Turkey
TUR
82%
13%
5%
71 93 22 0

Matches

Iceland
Iceland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1988
DEN
Denmark
1 - 0
Iceland
ISL
90%
7%
2%
62 87 25 0
21 Sep. 1988
ISL
Iceland
0 - 3
Hungary
HUN
20%
27%
54%
62 89 27 0
31 Aug. 1988
ISL
Iceland
1 - 1
USSR
SUN
17%
28%
55%
62 93 31 0
24 Aug. 1988
ISL
Iceland
1 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
49%
24%
27%
61 64 3 +1
07 Aug. 1988
ISL
Iceland
2 - 3
Bulgaria
BGR
23%
25%
52%
61 84 23 0