Arab Cup Fase de Grupos round 3

Tunisia vs UAE analysis

Tunisia UAE
82 ELO 78
-9.3% Tilt -9.8%
247º General ELO ranking 514º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.3%
Tunisia
25.3%
Draw
25.4%
UAE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
Tunisia
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.4%
Win probability
UAE
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-4%
+9%
UAE

ELO progression

Tunisia
UAE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2021
SYR
Syria
2 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
26%
25%
49%
83 71 12 0
30 Nov. 2021
TUN
Tunisia
5 - 1
Mauritania
MTN
76%
17%
7%
83 59 24 0
16 Nov. 2021
TUN
Tunisia
3 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
82 73 9 +1
13 Nov. 2021
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
15%
24%
61%
83 59 24 -1
10 Oct. 2021
MTN
Mauritania
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
14%
23%
63%
83 59 24 0

Matches

UAE
UAE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2021
MTN
Mauritania
0 - 1
UAE
UAE
14%
22%
64%
79 58 21 0
30 Nov. 2021
UAE
UAE
2 - 1
Syria
SYR
57%
22%
21%
78 72 6 +1
16 Nov. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 1
UAE
UAE
24%
25%
51%
78 64 14 0
11 Nov. 2021
KOR
South Korea
1 - 0
UAE
UAE
70%
19%
11%
78 88 10 0
12 Oct. 2021
UAE
UAE
2 - 2
Iraq
IRQ
46%
26%
28%
78 80 2 0