CAF Qualifying Grupo A round 3

Tunisia vs Comoros analysis

Tunisia Comoros
83 ELO 57
-16.2% Tilt -15.1%
250º General ELO ranking 2998º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.3%
Tunisia
18.6%
Draw
7.1%
Comoros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
Tunisia
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.2%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.6%
7.1%
Win probability
Comoros
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-4%
+96%
Comoros

ELO progression

Tunisia
Comoros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2024
GAM
Gambia
1 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
18%
25%
57%
83 62 21 0
05 Sep. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Madagascar
MAD
74%
18%
8%
83 64 19 0
09 Jun. 2024
NAM
Namibia
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
16%
25%
59%
83 64 19 0
05 Jun. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Equatorial Guinea
EQG
69%
20%
12%
83 67 16 0
26 Mar. 2024
NZL
New Zealand
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
21%
26%
54%
83 66 17 0

Matches

Comoros
Comoros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2024
MAD
Madagascar
1 - 1
Comoros
COM
55%
24%
21%
56 64 8 0
04 Sep. 2024
COM
Comoros
1 - 1
Gambia
GAM
27%
25%
47%
56 62 6 0
07 Jul. 2024
COM
Comoros
2 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
28%
25%
46%
56 61 5 0
05 Jul. 2024
COM
Comoros
1 - 2
Angola
ANG
22%
27%
51%
56 73 17 0
02 Jul. 2024
COM
Comoros
1 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
19%
24%
57%
55 69 14 +1