CAF round 3

Tunisia vs Congo analysis

Tunisia Congo
82 ELO 69
-5.8% Tilt -19.9%
251º General ELO ranking 2399º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.8%
Tunisia
18.3%
Draw
11.9%
Congo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
Tunisia
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Win probability
Congo
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-6%
-20%
Congo

ELO progression

Tunisia
Congo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 0
Morocco
MAR
27%
27%
47%
82 88 6 0
23 Jan. 2000
NGA
Nigeria
4 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
48%
27%
26%
82 83 1 0
18 Jan. 2000
GHA
Ghana
2 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
39%
30%
31%
83 79 4 -1
07 Jan. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
7 - 0
Togo
TOG
82%
13%
5%
83 57 26 0
22 Dec. 1999
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 0
Ghana
GHA
54%
25%
21%
82 79 3 +1

Matches

Congo
Congo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2000
NGA
Nigeria
0 - 0
Congo
CGO
69%
19%
12%
69 83 14 0
25 Jan. 2000
MAR
Morocco
1 - 0
Congo
CGO
75%
17%
9%
69 87 18 0
01 Dec. 1999
CGO
Congo
0 - 1
RD Congo
COD
42%
27%
31%
70 72 2 -1
28 Nov. 1999
CGO
Congo
2 - 1
Togo
TOG
61%
23%
17%
69 58 11 +1
27 Nov. 1999
CGO
Congo
2 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
46%
25%
29%
69 65 4 0