Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 3
SWE
11%
20%
69%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SWE
0 - 3
SRB
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 2
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
SVK
17%
22%
60%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
SUI
4 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POL
5 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |