CAF Qualifying Grupo K round 5

South Sudan vs Congo analysis

South Sudan Congo
47 ELO 59
-6.5% Tilt -9.1%
4963º General ELO ranking 2443º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.5%
South Sudan
20%
Draw
63.6%
Congo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
South Sudan
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.6%
Win probability
Congo
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Sudan
+27%
-17%
Congo

ELO progression

South Sudan
Congo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
KEN
Kenya
1 - 1
South Sudan
SSD
56%
24%
20%
46 63 17 0
27 Oct. 2024
SSD
South Sudan
2 - 0
Kenya
KEN
9%
16%
75%
44 64 20 +2
15 Oct. 2024
SSD
South Sudan
1 - 2
Uganda
UGA
10%
17%
73%
44 66 22 0
11 Oct. 2024
UGA
Uganda
1 - 0
South Sudan
SSD
64%
21%
16%
44 66 22 0
10 Sep. 2024
SSD
South Sudan
2 - 3
South Africa
RSA
7%
16%
77%
45 78 33 -1

Matches

Congo
Congo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2024
CGO
Congo
1 - 1
South Africa
RSA
11%
19%
70%
59 79 20 0
11 Oct. 2024
RSA
South Africa
5 - 0
Congo
CGO
71%
20%
10%
59 78 19 0
09 Sep. 2024
UGA
Uganda
2 - 0
Congo
CGO
48%
26%
26%
60 66 6 -1
05 Sep. 2024
CGO
Congo
1 - 0
South Sudan
SSD
63%
20%
16%
60 45 15 0
11 Jun. 2024
CGO
Congo
0 - 6
Morocco
MAR
10%
22%
68%
61 87 26 -1