EURO Grupo C round 1

Serbia vs England analysis

Serbia England
86 ELO 94
15% Tilt -10.7%
120º General ELO ranking 23º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.4%
Serbia
20.6%
Draw
60%
England

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
Serbia
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60%
Win probability
England
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Serbia
England
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2024
SWE
Sweden
0 - 3
Serbia
SRB
51%
25%
24%
86 87 1 0
04 Jun. 2024
AUT
Austria
2 - 1
Serbia
SRB
55%
23%
22%
86 87 1 0
25 Mar. 2024
CYP
Cyprus
0 - 1
Serbia
SRB
13%
22%
65%
86 57 29 0
21 Mar. 2024
RUS
Russia
4 - 0
Serbia
SRB
51%
25%
25%
87 87 0 -1
19 Nov. 2023
SRB
Serbia
2 - 2
Bulgaria
BGR
79%
14%
7%
87 75 12 0

Matches

England
England
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2024
ENG
England
0 - 1
Iceland
ISL
82%
13%
6%
94 76 18 0
03 Jun. 2024
ENG
England
3 - 0
Bosnia
BIH
81%
14%
6%
94 79 15 0
26 Mar. 2024
ENG
England
2 - 2
Belgium
BEL
45%
24%
31%
94 93 1 0
23 Mar. 2024
ENG
England
0 - 1
Brazil
BRA
33%
24%
43%
94 96 2 0
20 Nov. 2023
MKD
North Macedonia
1 - 1
England
ENG
6%
15%
79%
94 75 19 0