Saint Martin vs Bonaire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
65.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4820%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AIA
0 - 6
MAF
13%
16%
71%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 3
KNA
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
KNA
1 - 1
MAF
81%
14%
6%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ABW
3 - 0
MAF
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
ABW
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bonaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
BES
1 - 2
TCA
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SXM
6 - 1
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | -3 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BES
2 - 0
VIR
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BES
2 - 2
SXM
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |