Saint Martin vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 2
GRD
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AIA
1 - 2
MAF
14%
16%
69%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BES
0 - 4
MAF
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MAF
8 - 0
AIA
69%
17%
15%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 2
LCA
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 1
CUW
16%
20%
65%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 2
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HTI
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LCA
1 - 2
SXM
72%
16%
13%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |