Saint Martin vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LCA
0 - 4
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
LCA
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 2
GRD
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AIA
1 - 2
MAF
14%
16%
69%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
CUW
1 - 0
GRD
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GRD
0 - 0
CUW
16%
19%
66%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 1
CUW
16%
20%
65%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ABW
0 - 2
CUW
10%
15%
76%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |