Romania vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1929 |
ROU
2 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 18 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
ROU
3 - 0
BGR
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
YUG
3 - 1
ROU
18%
22%
61%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
ROU
4 - 2
BGR
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1929 |
YUG
3 - 3
CSK
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 82 | 62 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1929 |
FRA
1 - 3
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1929 |
ROU
2 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 72 | 54 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1928 |
CSK
7 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 82 | 64 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1928 |
YUG
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 75 | 57 | 0 |