Ireland vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
IRL
2 - 1
SUI
55%
26%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1992 |
IRL
0 - 1
WAL
59%
25%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
TUR
1 - 3
IRL
31%
31%
38%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
POL
3 - 3
IRL
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
HUN
1 - 2
IRL
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
USA
5 - 0
CHN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
MAR
3 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
ESP
2 - 0
USA
79%
16%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 0
USA
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1992 |
SLV
2 - 0
USA
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |