East Germany vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1970 |
POL
1 - 1
DDR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1969 |
EGY
1 - 3
DDR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1969 |
IRQ
1 - 1
DDR
35%
23%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
ITA
3 - 0
DDR
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
WAL
1 - 3
DDR
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1970 |
POL
2 - 0
IRQ
74%
15%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1969 |
IRQ
1 - 1
DDR
35%
23%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1969 |
IRQ
1 - 2
PAK
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1969 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1968 |
IRQ
1 - 1
IDN
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |