East Germany vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
DDR
3 - 0
CHE
80%
15%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ROU
1 - 0
DDR
42%
28%
31%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1983 |
DDR
1 - 3
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
DDR
23%
27%
51%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
CHE
0 - 0
DDR
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
SCT
1 - 1
BEL
54%
26%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SCT
2 - 0
URY
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1983 |
CAN
0 - 2
SCT
2%
22%
76%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1983 |
CAN
0 - 3
SCT
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
CAN
0 - 2
SCT
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |