East Germany vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
DDR
2 - 2
BGR
71%
19%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 0
BEL
69%
21%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 1
SWE
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
DDR
3 - 1
SUI
79%
15%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
TUR
1 - 2
DDR
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
SWE
0 - 0
CSK
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
BRA
2 - 0
CSK
73%
18%
8%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CSK
0 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
GRC
0 - 1
CSK
31%
29%
40%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |