Arabian Gulf Cup round 5

Catar vs Saudi Arabia analysis

Catar Saudi Arabia
79 ELO 87
-7.1% Tilt -8.7%
13883º General ELO ranking 13885º
22º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
18.3%
Catar
23.7%
Draw
58%
Saudi Arabia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
Catar
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58%
Win probability
Saudi Arabia
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catar
-1%
-3%
Saudi Arabia

ELO progression

Catar
Saudi Arabia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catar
Catar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2002
KSA
Saudi Arabia
3 - 1
Catar
QAT
67%
21%
13%
80 87 7 0
26 Jan. 2002
KWT
Kuwait
0 - 1
Catar
QAT
54%
25%
21%
79 82 3 +1
25 Jan. 2002
KWT
Kuwait
0 - 1
Catar
QAT
56%
24%
20%
79 82 3 0
24 Jan. 2002
OMA
Oman
1 - 2
Catar
QAT
37%
28%
35%
79 68 11 0
23 Jan. 2002
OMA
Oman
1 - 2
Catar
QAT
38%
28%
34%
79 69 10 0

Matches

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2002
KSA
Saudi Arabia
3 - 1
Catar
QAT
67%
21%
13%
87 80 7 0
27 Jan. 2002
KSA
Saudi Arabia
2 - 0
Oman
OMA
74%
17%
9%
87 67 20 0
26 Jan. 2002
KSA
Saudi Arabia
2 - 0
Oman
OMA
74%
17%
9%
87 68 19 0
24 Jan. 2002
UAE
UAE
0 - 1
Saudi Arabia
KSA
29%
26%
44%
87 77 10 0
23 Jan. 2002
KSA
Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Peru
PER
57%
24%
19%
87 85 2 0