Portugal vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
ARM
86%
11%
3%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 2
POR
7%
19%
74%
|
96 | 66 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 2
POR
9%
22%
69%
|
96 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
GRC
2 - 1
FIN
68%
21%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
HUN
1 - 2
GRC
36%
29%
35%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRC
5 - 0
MLT
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
TUR
0 - 1
GRC
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
3 - 2
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |